Visit Gumwars's column >>

GUMWARS

Look twice, Listen close, Think hard
Add To Watchlist
Articles Posted: 71; Links Seeded: 226
Member Since: 3/2008Last Seen: 11/22/2009

Peak Oil, Simplified

Read ArticleArticle Source: The New York Times
advertisement

A simple case in favor of Peak Oil. Enjoy.

Published to:

What's this?
Who's leading the conversation?
This visualization below allows you to see the impact that each user has on the current conversation. The top row contains the group of users who have had the most impact, the 2nd row the group of users who have had the 2nd most impact (et cetera). Users with similar impact are grouped together, and the average score of the group is shown to the left of the group. The author of the article is also shown on the left, in their corresponding group. Each user's score is based on the number of comments the user has made plus the number of votes their comments have received. The scores are calculated relative one another, so while their absolute value is not particularly important, their relative difference does indicate a larger difference in impact on the conversation.
3.9
0.7
{"commentId":1720105,"authorDomain":"ottawahitech"}
othDeleted
{"commentId":1720359,"authorDomain":"myriver"}

" And it doesn't matter much whether we're literally at the peak, or whether production can rise by a few million more barrels a day; unless there are big sources of oil out there, we'll be feeling peakish for the foreseeable future. "

This is going to generate lots and lots of problems.

A. The cost of living in the southeast/southcentral portion of the states is more than double the cost of living in other parts of the country. Utilities are amazingly vulnerable in spite of being ungodly expensive. People more than 15 miles from work making minimum wage will not be able to afford a commute. Most towns are small, and work of any kind is hard to come by.

B. Food banks are already in crisis. Local news shows empty shelves in several charitable organizations. One local shelter was condemned by the city a few weeks ago...the only one in town. Social workers are trying desperately to relocate the 30+ people who were participating in the shelter's assistance program. Thousands more are headed for the streets.

C. The tension is in the air. People are more distracted, more angry, less considerate, more aggressive, less trusting. My law enforcement is understaffed.

D. It's going to be a long, hot summer.

{"commentId":1720359,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"myriver"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#2 - Tue Apr 22, 2008 10:38 AM EDT
{"commentId":1732421,"authorDomain":"ottawahitech"}
othDeleted
{"commentId":1732465,"authorDomain":"myriver"}

I lived there for 26 years.

Utilities, rent/leases, maintenance, private transportation, technicians, construction....all of these are indecently expensive across this region.

{"commentId":1732465,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"myriver"}
    #2.2 - Fri Apr 25, 2008 8:49 AM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":1720666,"authorDomain":"gumwars"}

    This is just the beginning. Wait until we go into Iran and really drive the prices up.

    {"commentId":1720666,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"gumwars"}
      Reply#3 - Tue Apr 22, 2008 11:56 AM EDT
      {"commentId":1739768,"authorDomain":"energynet"}

      Amazing what a dollar increase in the price of oil will do in just a couple of months.

      Now get ready for another dollar increase. This kind of thing is called doubling, Very few americans have a clue as to what the implications of "normal growth rates" mean.

      This video by retired professor Bartlett is a must view for anyone to understand the implications on the math that has been passed to the public as normal growth.

      {"commentId":1739768,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"energynet"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#4 - Sun Apr 27, 2008 2:54 PM EDT
      {"commentId":1739987,"authorDomain":"gumwars"}

      I'm wondering how long the corporate sector will continue to absorb the losses without passing them on to the public. It can't be much longer before pressure starts to really send prices across the board up.

      {"commentId":1739987,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"gumwars"}
        Reply#5 - Sun Apr 27, 2008 4:27 PM EDT
        {"commentId":1741236,"authorDomain":"energynet"}

        Let's just say that the costs that are right around the corner will leave a growing number of folks without the ability to cover their costs. And at a time where the society could very well be facing a downturn for most poorer folks.

        We've got some serious events coming up very soon.

        {"commentId":1741236,"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844","authorDomain":"energynet"}
        • 2 votes
        Reply#6 - Mon Apr 28, 2008 1:46 AM EDT
        {"canLink":false,"threadId":"253848","isPrivate":false}
        Leave a Comment:
        You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead.
        As a new user, you may notice a few temporary content restrictions. Click here for more info.
        {"threadId":"253848","contentId":"1437844"}
        Start TrackingStart Tracking
        Stop TrackingStop Tracking